Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2.987788 3.512704 4.073621 4.714529 5.423469 6.180676 7.047540
2024-10-06 2.368483 3.113264 3.968793 5.010861 6.232427 7.606105 9.254388
2024-10-13 1.899930 2.774488 3.847671 5.229273 6.928430 8.918786 11.394407
2024-10-20 1.509506 2.445500 3.668956 5.325540 7.450190 10.026342 13.326533
2024-10-27 1.160368 2.096016 3.400033 5.254231 7.727365 10.821254 14.889360
2024-11-03 0.958259 1.910066 3.313373 5.392496 8.255364 11.926518 16.852174
2024-11-10 0.786780 1.733138 3.207931 5.479779 8.701070 12.924849 18.694146
2024-11-17 0.607399 1.502267 2.986232 5.370201 8.855753 13.531435 20.033963
2024-11-24 0.460868 1.292325 2.763655 5.228839 8.942263 14.032897 21.232816
2024-12-01 0.361921 1.146830 2.622987 5.191658 9.163331 14.710339 22.668345
2024-12-08 0.278470 1.008734 2.473007 5.120446 9.320620 15.293455 23.979828
2024-12-15 0.243388 0.971547 2.498594 5.332022 9.904550 16.483828 26.136642
2024-12-22 0.195554 0.889767 2.433155 5.392073 10.268861 17.387424 27.943096
2024-12-29 0.175693 0.877760 2.502761 5.687135 11.008831 18.849686 30.556379
2025-01-05 0.152386 0.847852 2.531562 5.910579 11.642181 20.171114 32.997528
2025-01-12 0.123890 0.789838 2.492728 6.007992 12.074776 21.206049 35.052171
2025-01-19 0.090666 0.697162 2.363071 5.926710 12.210100 21.800105 36.487945
2025-01-26 0.074890 0.661939 2.357970 6.075386 12.724630 22.967083 38.757550
2025-02-02 0.059606 0.618826 2.326869 6.169422 13.147226 23.999806 40.845215
2025-02-09 0.040547 0.539871 2.192936 6.049831 13.200524 24.468191 42.118887
2025-02-16 0.025730 0.463617 2.049323 5.895817 13.183269 24.821756 43.224444
2025-02-23 0.017132 0.413303 1.965251 5.855247 13.357782 25.471489 44.770534
2025-03-02 0.010475 0.362632 1.868384 5.777668 13.460211 26.006336 46.150344